Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005450 0.006222 0.007112 0.008224 0.009593 0.011244 0.013420
2025-11-16 0.004262 0.005174 0.006323 0.007912 0.010114 0.013159 0.017882
2025-11-23 0.003741 0.004737 0.006073 0.008065 0.011092 0.015779 0.024204
2025-11-30 0.003298 0.004302 0.005710 0.007928 0.011548 0.017693 0.030250
2025-12-07 0.002930 0.003908 0.005326 0.007659 0.011692 0.019084 0.036028
2025-12-14 0.002678 0.003642 0.005086 0.007556 0.012065 0.020985 0.044045
2025-12-21 0.002546 0.003537 0.005069 0.007808 0.013123 0.024625 0.059238
2025-12-28 0.002457 0.003483 0.005123 0.008185 0.014518 0.029622 0.084004
2026-01-04 0.002332 0.003359 0.005041 0.008295 0.015385 0.033773 0.112119
2026-01-11 0.002192 0.003197 0.004876 0.008214 0.015808 0.036949 0.142152
2026-01-18 0.002084 0.003076 0.004768 0.008230 0.016460 0.041203 0.188964
2026-01-25 0.001949 0.002901 0.004545 0.007974 0.016378 0.043052 0.226273
2026-02-01 0.001795 0.002690 0.004254 0.007568 0.015913 0.043724 0.262307
2026-02-08 0.001672 0.002525 0.004035 0.007296 0.015765 0.045678 0.325284
2026-02-15 0.001611 0.002464 0.004003 0.007433 0.016803 0.053367 0.532011
2026-02-22 0.001527 0.002354 0.003868 0.007311 0.017053 0.057882 0.766058
2026-03-01 0.001438 0.002230 0.003693 0.007071 0.016877 0.060262 1.018661
2026-03-08 0.001372 0.002143 0.003586 0.006978 0.017158 0.065535 1.612027
2026-03-15 0.001343 0.002122 0.003607 0.007203 0.018587 0.079658 4.529348
2026-03-22 0.001326 0.002121 0.003668 0.007540 0.020572 0.101699 34.619631
2026-03-29 0.001288 0.002078 0.003639 0.007639 0.021714 0.120152 3977.809629
2026-04-05 0.001239 0.002011 0.003552 0.007567 0.022155 0.133524 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001201 0.001962 0.003499 0.007580 0.022981 0.153942 NaN